摘要
优化海洋产业空间布局是驱动沿海城市绿色转型的核心议题.基于微观涉海企业地理信息,利用核密度估计精确测度2010-2023年我国51个沿海城市的海洋产业空间集聚度,并构建兼顾陆海双重维度的绿色经济效率指标,实证检验二者的非线性关系及其内在机制.研究发现,海洋产业集聚对绿色经济效率呈倒"U"型影响,且存在显著的产业异质性,第二产业拐点较早,第三产业可持续阈值更高,而第一产业效应不显著.机制分析表明,规模效应、蓝色技术效应和空间配置效应是重要的传导路径,但三者在不同产业间呈现出明显的分化特征.调节效应检验结果显示,政府海洋经济政策注意力强化了集聚后期的边际递减效应,使倒"U"型曲线更陡峭,而数字经济发展则通过缓解拥挤成本使倒"U"型曲线趋于平缓.这一研究有助于为突破陆域集聚理论局限、制定差异化的海洋空间治理政策提供微观经验依据与决策参考.
Optimizing the spatial configuration of the marine industry is pivotal for driving the green transition of coastal cit-ies.Using high-resolution geospatial data on micro-level marine-related enterprises,this study employs kernel density estimation to precisely measure urban marine industrial spatial agglomeration at the city level,constructs a green economic efficiency indicator that integrates both land and sea dimensions,and empirically examines the nonlinear relationship between agglomeration and green effi-ciency as well as its underlying mechanisms.The findings reveal a statistically significant inverted U-shaped relationship between marine industrial agglomeration and green economic efficiency,with pronounced sectoral heterogeneity.The inflection point occurs earlier for the secondary industry,while the tertiary industry has a higher sustainable threshold,and the effect of the primary industry is not significant.Mechanism analyses indicate that scale effects,blue technology effects,and spatial allocation effects are important transmission channels,but their patterns differ markedly across industries.Further moderation effect tests show that government atten-tion to marine economic policy steepens the inverted U-shaped curve by intensifying the marginal diminishing effect in the later stage of agglomeration,whereas digital economic development flattens the curve by alleviating congestion costs.Based on these findings,this study proposes micro-level empirical evidence to overcome the limitations of land-based agglomeration theories and offer decision-making references for formulating differentiated marine spatial governance policies.