Impact of Industrial Embeddedness on Regional Economic Resilience:An Empirical Study Based on Chinese Prefecture-level Cities
摘要
21 世纪以来,全球经济进入高不确定性周期,重大突发事件如 2008 年国际金融危机及新冠疫情深刻暴露了传统经济系统的脆弱性.区域经济韧性作为演化经济地理学的核心议题,成为探讨区域如何抵御冲击并实现转型的关键.本研究选取中国 273 个地级市作为研究样本,基于投入产出分析视角,系统测度了产业供应嵌入度与销售嵌入度,并结合 2013-2022 年的宏观经济数据,探讨产业嵌入对区域经济韧性、抵抗力与恢复力的影响.研究发现,中国城市经济韧性呈现显著的"南高北低"与"东强西稳"特征,中西部部分省会城市在转型中展现出强劲的韧性增长.实证结果显示,产业供应嵌入度与区域经济韧性之间存在显著的"倒 U型"关系,即适度的本地供应链整合能通过强化协同效应提升韧性,而过度嵌入则易引发"锁定效应",削弱对外部的适应性.异质性分析表明,高韧性城市更依赖外部市场的广度,而低韧性城市则需通过完善本地供应体系来夯实基础.研究结论为新发展格局下优化产业链布局、提升城市抗风险能力提供了理论支撑与政策指引.
Against the backdrop of escalating global economic uncertainty,regional economic resilience has become a focal point within evolutionary economic geography.This study employs an input-output analysis to quantify industrial supply and sales embeddedness across 273 Chinese prefecture-level cities from 2013 to 2022,assessing their roles in regional resistance and recovery.The findings reveal a pronounced spatial stratification,characterized by a South-North disparity and an East-West divergence—where the East exhibits greater dynamism and the West shows more stability.Notably,several inland provincial capitals have emerged as new poles of resilient growth.The empirical evidence identifies a significant inverted U-shaped relationship between industrial supply embeddedness and resilience:while moderate integration fosters synergy,excessive embeddedness triggers a"lock-in effect"that diminishes external adaptability.Heterogeneity analysis further suggests that high-resilience cities benefit more from market diversification,whereas their low-resilience counterparts must prioritize fortifying local supply foundations.
